A Rebol Challenge. The Monty Hall Puzzle a Comedy..

[1/2] from: james:mustard at: 20-Dec-2001 14:05

An interesting quote (someone may be able to find the whole thing for me) from Terry Pratchetts Discworld novels goes as follows: 1 in a million chances happen 9 out of 10 times... Its always interesting to note that people always assume a fair balanced world where things happen as expected. Imagine the uproar if people ever discovered that Monty - on hearing a contestants choice of door, decided to get the stage-crew to quickly swap the prize so the contestant never won... I wonder what the odds of that happening are... either monty likes-contestant? [monty-plays-fair][monty-cheats] The same could be said for quiz shows where contestants are fed answers :) James.

[2/2] from: sunandadh::aol::com at: 20-Dec-2001 4:34

Hi James,

> An interesting quote (someone may be able to find the whole thing for me) > from Terry Pratchetts Discworld novels goes as follows: > "1 in a million chances happen 9 out of 10 times..."

I think it's from "Guards, Guards". Anyway, the one where the civil defence squad are trying to down an attacking dragon, and they have exactly one arrow left. Someone says it's a million to one chance, and that cheers them up because they know that million-to-one chances always happen in the mythic universe they live in. Then someone opines that it's more likely to be a thousand-to-one; and that's a depressing thought--who ever heard of a thousand-to-one shot working? A model for Rebol's chance of commercial success!? Sunanda.